98 Comments

Outstanding edition, Robert. I'd like to remind your readers that Georgia is a "strict voter ID" state. What that means is that Registration to vote is not enough. It is an incomplete. A voter needs a proper ID as defined by Georgia law to be able to cast a ballot. We at VoteRiders (www.voteriders.org) have helped millions of voters get the ID they need to cast a ballot. In Georgia, we have identified 157,000 registered voters who do not have sufficient ID to vote and have their contact information. Our non-partisan non-profit is currently deploying many of our 9,000 volunteers to assist in this effort. Registration is not enough!! Stephen Unger, Chairman, Governance Committee, Board of Directors, VoteRiders®

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Thanks for this, Stephen. I'm writing post cards to GA. Will add the photo ID requirement to the message.

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Fantastic! Per my response to another's inquiry, you might want to add: “If you have any questions or need help with your voter ID, call or text VoteRiders at 844-338-8743 or email Helpline@VoteRiders.org." Thank you so much!!

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Good point. I'll amend my message, too.

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author

Pinning to the top!

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Really appreciate your support, Robert, at this pivotal time!

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💖💖💖💖💖💖💌💌💌💌💌💌!!!!!!!

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Stephen I didn't know this. Is there a succinct phrase to add to post cards that would cover it? Do they need to go to GA website. Is it enough to say "Remember to bring your photo ID to vote." thanks!!

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“If you have any questions or need help with your voter ID, call or text VoteRiders at 844-338-8743 or email Helpline@VoteRiders.org."

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What we need to do, urgently:

Cure ballots, starting with Adam Frisch to defeat Lauren Boebert in Colorado. Deadline is Monday at one minute before midnight. Sign up spots through Mobilize appear to have been maxed out (good news!), but money helps boots on the ground in Colorado and whatever else they need.

https://secure.actblue.com/donate/adam-for-colorado-twitter

Other cure ballot opportunities through Monday/Tuesday, per the inimitable Jessica Craven's "Chop Wood, Carry Water:"

https://docs.google.com/document/d/1u8kRrtXlFLEyJ3o87XSMIjT4mjE1zv1uBy2VYiBmEho/edit

Support Warnock's runoff campaign, also from Jessica Craven's "Chop Wood, Carry Water:"

Sign up with Indivisible to be on their GA runoff volunteer team. They’ll let you know in the next few days how you can help.

https://act.indivisible.org/signup/ga-runoff-vol-2022/?source=email20221110&utm_source=email&t=5&referring_akid=84468.113385.oIj2Nt

Working Families Party has text banking for the runoffs! Happening almost every day! Sign up here.

https://www.mobilize.us/ga-wfp/event/540617/?fbclid=IwAR0Hzj0jG7C2BOKStK0fQhDSyS3BM8YqeRll9adcyOiaqhMf_XpShMb1mX8

Activate America is about to launch their GA postcarding effort. E-mail AnnaMartin@activateamerica.vote to be added to their list so you’ll be the first to hear when this campaign launches.

The Center For Common Ground will be launching postcarding and phonebanking into GA in the next 24 hours. Sign up here so you hear about these efforts right away.

https://www.centerforcommonground.org/#cfcgcontainershow

SURJ (Showing Up For Racial Justice) has several texting and phonebanking sessions already scheduled to help us win in GA. Sign up for one or more here.

https://act.surj.org/a/ga-runoff?emci=237ae7e6-6a60-ed11-ade6-14cb6534a651&emdi=24c61d93-6c60-ed11-ade6-14cb6534a651&ceid=549472

Donate to Rev. Warnock’s campaign here.

https://warnockforgeorgia.com/

Out of state and want to go knock doors in GA? Sign up here and someone from Indivisible Ventura will reach out!

https://www.mobilize.us/gavotes/event/521492/

Postcards To Voters now has a writing campaign for Warnock in GA.

If you are an approved writer:

1. Text HELLO to (484) 275-2229 or

2. Message HELLO to Abby the Address Bot on their Slack channel here: https://bit.ly/SlackAbby or

3. Send an email to: Request@AbbyAddresses.org

Not yet approved and ready to join Postcards To Voters?

1. Text JOIN to (484) 275-2229 or

2. Send an email to: Join@TonyTheDemocrat.org

https://chopwoodcarrywaterdailyactions.substack.com/p/chop-wood-carry-water-1110-66a

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Postcards to voters.org has the best technology, protocols and messaging. I’ve written 80 long postcards for Senator Warnock since the lists came out November 10. At least 20 more today.

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Ellie, thanks for the incredible list showing all of the opportunities to cure ballots and Hold the House! My first try at ballot curing was in 2021 for the GA runoff election. It was a great experience and I was hooked! I spent this weekend curing ballots in NV and am starting up today to cure ballots in my home state of CA. We can do this!

Those of you who have never phone banked should jump in and give ballot curing a try. Voters are so appreciative of your outreach, which ensures their vote will be counted. And you’ll feel so proud when we Hold the House through our grassroots efforts!

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author

Pinning to the top.

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The Civics Center has a postcard effort to young GA voters..

https://secure.everyaction.com/X-mBsDT-5kCzTn7HqAd_Aw2

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Going forward it is so obvious young voters will be extremely important for protecting Democracy. I follow Victor ShI on Twitter. He is a key organizer in the "Voters of Tomorrow" campaign. I hope this campaign can expand to states like Ohio, Georgia and other places where young voters need to be much more aware of what is at stake for our future. The Civics Center is really interesting. Perhaps they could team up with Voters of Tomorrow. Thank you.

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Voters of Tomorrow is getting well deserved attention in the media, most recently from MSNBC and the Boston Globe. Gen Z is energizing nationally for the future!

https://twitter.com/VotersTomorrow

https://votersoftomorrow.org/

Their operation on the eve of the election:

https://twitter.com/VotersTomorrow/status/1591889655619788801?s=20&t=Y6CKm3DKmoj-w-C0NKPK0Q

@ellie_kona (Plans B and C on CounterSocial and Mastadon in the works)

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Fair Fight will be announcing their plans this week, including text-banking and phone-banking. I'm curious why it has rarely been mentioned as a major action resource this past week, since it is based in GA.

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Ellie, this list is fantastic. I broke my own rules and accepted a new client over the weekend just so I could spend the money on supporting Warnock and now Frisch. (I'm retired and writing). Thank you for all of the sharing all of you do!

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Ellie, As pertains to info above to Colorado - I believe the deadline for ballot curing is actually Wednesday at 11:59pm. Just so folks know that they have two more days!!

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Yes....two more days to boot Boebert back home, and end one big source of embarrassment from my home state in DC!

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One thing Democrats can do is stop throwing good money after bad on statewide races in Florida. Yes, Democrats can win in DISTRICTS there - look at Maxwell Alejandro Frost, who is the most exciting newly-elected congress member I have heard from in 40 years with his knowledge, commitment and passion - but while Republicans have increased by 150,000 between 2018 and 2020, Democrats have declined by 10,000 in that time period.

If the national money spent on Val Demings - who as good as she is was never in real contention in any poll I saw when voters started paying attention after late August - had been invested in Cheri Beasley, she'd have won. As it was she came damn close. And if she had won, we would be celebrating the possibility of a 52 seat majority and the end of Manchinema as a problem. AND for those keeping score they would have still put a black woman in the Senate.

While I don't want the Republicans to take the House majority, if they do it's going to be by such a narrow majority that that collection of clucks may not be able to pass an organizing motion. Certainly neither Quiverin' Qevin or Striver Stefanik could drive that Kooky Klown Kar with the Fwee-dumb Kawkuss in back throwing their shit out the windows at passers-by while taking turns grabbing at the steering wheel. For two years we can point at the Monkey House and say "this is why you cannot have nice things" to voters. Yeah, Democrats would get hauled before their committees, but all they have to do to prepare is watch the tape of HRC making fools of them at the BenghaziBenghaziBenghazi hearing. Put all the D heavyweights on the Judiciary committee and then laugh at Coach Gym Jordan to his face and show him up as the moron he is. We can make it ashes in their mouths, make them not want to get up in the morning and go to work. And clobber them in 2024.

Fortunately if we do keep the majority, we'll have Pelosi to put in her master final appearance as the only Speaker who can have success with a bare majority since she has the big switch with which to herd the swarm of bees through the blizzard. Unlike the Republicans who probably won't be able to get agreement on ordering Chinese takeout for lunch.

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I have been reading with coffee for an hour now. Finally! I have found an analysis that makes me smile. I can't wipe the grin off my face. Thanks, TC.

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The thought of Gym Jordan with a bull horn makes me heave. They have learned nothing, anybody remember the soul Searching they did after 2012. I don’t either, it never happened. They just kept digging, and found the chump.

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Hear, hear!! I'm still laughing at the Klown Kar description. And I LOVE Maxwell Frost!

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Yes, the visuals are 🤣

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TC, while I agree with you about Florida being close to hopeless now, I must give you some information from inside the state. There was absolutely NO support from the DNC nor the Florida Dem Party. Manny Diaz, the Florida chair, never even stepped foot in my county, Pasco, for 2 years. There was no ground game. We never were able to effectively start registration drives. No money, no time. If they had provided even a modicum of support DeSantis probably would have still won, but not by these margins, nor would every person in the state be starting his coronation.

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Replying to myself to add this. In this morning’s Tampa Bay Times, there is an article about a brand new Super Pac gearing up for DeDantis’ presidential run. It is called “Ron to the Rescue”. I kid you not.

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founding

I did not know Demings was so out of the race. I like her so much but feel awful that I gave precious dollars to her and less to Beasley.

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Thank you for that!

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Whew, I don't think I could live with you but I sure do think you are wise and onto a lot of things before the rest of us, TC. I copied and forwarded this to two of my adult sons and if they read it, I know they'll be hooked.

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While it’s not called yet, Katie Hobbs is very likely to be the next governor of Arizona (barring a MAGA miracle in favor of Lake in the final big Maricopa drop). One of the most positive developments of the midterms was the failure of the election denial slate of candidates in swing states. Voters came out in droves to reject those candidates. It also brought attention to the Secretary of State races, which up until know was largely an afterthought but is now more widely known as a integral part of the democratic process. We’re not out of the woods yet, but there is a lot to be proud of.

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Maybe Kari can go back to newsreading for OAN - oh, that's right, OAN no longer exists after it got dropped from cable.

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I could see her getting a gig somewhere in conservative media, maybe Newsmax if she’s lucky. I never understood why she was so hyped up, she seems like a new Sarah Palin.

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...and it looks like Palin's losing in the U.S. House race for Alaska. As of 11-10-22 w/80% of votes counted: Mary Peltola (D) 101,441 votes 47.3%/ Sarah Palin (R) 57,035 votes/26.6%. 3rd place: Nick Begich (R) 51,927 votes 24.2%.

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She is exactly that. Horrors

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Hope ATT lost a bundle on that fiasco. Never try to outfox the Rupert Fox.

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Omg - I’d be so happy to see Lake lose the AZ race. She’s toxic.

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🤞🏼

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Something is on 'auto play' in my mind ... over and over again ... A DECENT MAN!! It makes all the difference!! The phrase was becoming almost an oxymoron!! But, for me, it's a game-changing bellweather!! And, Raphael Warnack is a DECENT MAN!! Just thinking of taking unearned power from that Munchkin guy is enough to keep me going, but more than that, Sen. Warnack is so obviously a kind, smart, decent man ... it seems like a no-brainer. Let's push him over, people. We need his decency!! Icing on the cake!!

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I'm writing Vote Forward letters for the run off. I've finished 16 of20 and plan to do more. They MUST be mailed by/before 11/29/22. Go to https://votefwd.org/dashboard to sign up.

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A reason to go for broke (literally sometimes). Make Manchin irrelevant, but God, stop the begging emails…

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Just unsubscribe or block emails you don't want to keep getting.

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I've blocked more email addresses and phone numbers in the past 2 months than in the rest of the time I've had my phone but the list generators just keep cranking them out. For me it's not the quantity of requests, it's the begging. If someone contacted me with a positive message about why I should support them I'd respond positively. One of the things I like about Postcards to Voters is the positive messaging and the fact that they just ask for votes rather than money.

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--->>>"...they just ask for votes rather than money."<<<--- It's our money, investing in postcards and stamps, that gets the votes.

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I understand that Beth but the tone of most emails makes the average panhandler look proud.

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My dream, to make Manchin irrelevant. Reason enough. The Sec of State races should have stayed on the radar after 2000; republican Katherine Harris helped the Bush crowd steal the election. How the USA has suffered from that debacle…

Glad the youth is “woke.” We all need to be. Being aware of the threats to us all is a good thing. Women seem to be the experts.

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Thank you, Robert, for highlighting the importance of the Georgia runoff election and a Warnock victory. Airlift is raising funds for the Georgia Alliance for Progress, a consortium of 26 grassroots groups knocking on 3 million doors before December 6. The Alliance distributes funds where needed. and coordinates between the groups to reduce duplication. The Alliance groups are the trusted messengers that high potential voters will listen to. It’s not how many messages (ads) it’s the messenger that will get these voters to the polls for a second time in one month. Members of the Alliance include New Georgia Project, Mijente, and Asian American Advocacy Fund Please donate today. Thanks

https://secure.actblue.com/donate/ga22_alliance

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So true--these are the on-the-ground trusted messengers who live and work among the communities we need to turn out! Thanks for the info!

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Canvassing door-to-door is BY FAR the most effective way to mobilize voters and these local, groups who work in their communities 365 days a year are the "trusted messengers" we need to support. We shouldn't be recruiting out-of-state volunteers to knock doors! Please support the Georgia Alliance For Progress through Airlift! This is who we need on the ground knocking on doors! https://secure.actblue.com/donate/ga22_alliance

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One question…..with the polls being so wrong about the election and stories coming out about how the Republicans deliberately skewed them, has anyone thought about why the polls show Biden’s approval rating so low after all the good he’s done? Is there some nefarious polling being reported here too?

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Robert,

Thanks for the clarification that reminds us of the importance of Senator Warnock's re-election. Most of us are not aware of the dynamics of committee rules, etc. One more Democratic Senator makes a huge difference in terms of getting things done. And thanks for the judges assessment. The ripple effect of having judges in place who are NOT partisan hacks will be felt for many years.

Another terrific Newsletter!

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Thank you Robert Hubbell, for your steadfast optimism and for dispensing practical advice on how readers could help bring about this result. We Canadians are far from disinterested bystanders in US affairs—so many of us are breathing a deep sigh of relief up here. Fingers crossed for Dec 6!

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founding

Raphael Warnock demonstrates intellect, humility and hard work. MAGA-puppet Herschel Walker does not.

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One set of voters have been ignored as usual in the election analysis -- the Independent voter. There are more people calling themselves Independent voters than call themselves either Democrat or Republican. While the analyzers divide this huge block of voters as D leaning or R leaning, these voters themselves feel un-represented by either of the two major parties or by anyone. This election was a huge win for Moderates who reject the extremists candidates of both parties. President Biden, himself a moderate who believes strongly in working together across party lines, won on appealing to Americans on democracy itself. The increase in cross-ticket voting is another indicator of Americans tired and even disgusted by black or white nothing in the middle negative campaigning and putting Party over Country. Candidates are going to have to heed the voice of the vast middle of America which was very much shouting in this election. We, the People, all of us, this time - not just Rs and Ds - ALL of us!

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You are so right, Cathy! If we look too extreme, we risk turning off people who would have been open to thoughtful conversation.

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If I didn’t trust the polls and the pre-election analysis of the mainstream media, why would I listen to their post- election analysis?

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It may be premature to talk about the top of the Democratic ticket in '24, but those 2 years (really a lot less than that before things heat up and critical benchmarks occur) will fly by. With no disrespect for the terrific job Biden has done, we need a hard look at whether his age will handicap him - even if only in the eyes of the voters - and whether an 81-year old can win a very tight election. And of course, whether he'll be up to the job as he passes 82,3,4...not to mention choice of running mate, etc.

IF we need to re-focus on a younger candidate with more appeal to the increasingly youthful demographic, when does that figure into the next 18 months strategy? I'm sure Robert and Heather and others will address this soon; it needs to be part of a long-term plan to consolidate the amazing success of this recent election cycle.

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I feel a great weight has been lifted from my shoulders with the election results. I have read the analysis from many sources and caution everyone to be realistic about 2024 potential outcomes. The Democrats need to continue appealing to younger voters as well as recruiting younger candidates to get involved and run for office. The abortion issue will still be an issue in 2024 but will not have the same motivation as now. The economic landscape should be improved and inflation will not be a major political talking point . I am predicting Trump will not be as much of a factor as he still is today. There are several young and dynamic governors who might be candidates and I hope they get involved. We cannot rest on our laurels and we must remember the Republicans are more motivated than ever to mount a major comeback campaign. What the election taught us is that the younger generation and Independents win elections. Let’s not forget that.

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I have a question. In 2020 the Pete Buttigieg supporters, and I was one of them, were wild for him. I still see the passion when folks talk about him. With the impressive youth vote this year, do you think that would motivate their turnout? Or do you think the fact that he is gay be an insurmountable obstacle? It seems apparent that many of the older generation won’t vote for a Democrat in any case ( look at Tim Ryan for example) and so maybe we should do our best to turn out the young vote with an extraordinarily competent candidate. Oh, and wouldn’t you love to see a debate between Buttigieg and DeSantis?

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"Oh, and wouldn’t you love to see a debate between Buttigieg and DeSantis?" YES!!!

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The most important reason to elect Warnock is that it will be another nail in the Trump coffin.

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