Something remarkable happened in American politics over the last two weeks. A major party candidate for president suffered what can only be described as an emotional break or medical emergency that resulted in a sudden acceleration in the deterioration of his already deteriorating cognitive abilities and further loss of control over his delusional impulses. But you wouldn’t know it from reading the stories in the major media outlets—that are obsessing over horse-race polls and debate prognostication.
No, this isn’t just another rant about media coverage. We are at an inflection point: Either the media will meet the moment, or it will abandon the very democracy that creates the conditions that allow it to flourish. Whether the media meets that challenge is no longer our problem. It is a waste of emotional energy and precious time to worry about it. We have real work to do: That of convincing other Americans of the profound unfitness of Donald Trump and his unique threat to democracy.
Against all logic, decency, and common sense, the presidential race remains effectively tied (although Kamala Harris has the momentum, which is a good sign with less than 60 days until election day). Sadly, many Americans will vote for Trump because he is unhinged and out of control. He is an avatar for their anger. It is not a productive use of our time to focus on those voters.
But a substantial portion of the electorate remains undecided. Many say they don’t know enough about our current vice president to vote for her—although they are open to persuasion. Our target is the persuadable undecided voters and those who can’t bring themselves to vote for Trump but aren’t sure they can vote for Kamala Harris.
The media would be sounding the alarm with unremitting urgency in a world with a functioning press. But the media has concluded that it can generate more revenue by keeping the presidential race close. The believe that declaring one candidate to be an unfit megalomaniac at every opportunity would grow tiresome.
So, it is up to us. We must be warriors for the truth. And that means understanding what we have just witnessed over the last two weeks. Yes, it is unpleasant and enervating. We want to look away. That is what Trump wants. He wants us to be weary to the point of numbness and surrender. We cannot let that happen.
As soon as Kamala Harris became the presumptive nominee, Trump began racist and misogynistic attacks unparalleled in the sordid history of American political campaigns. He questioned Kamala Harris’s racial identify and accused her of engaging in sexual acts to succeed as a politician. And then it got worse.
Heather Cox Richardson’s column on Saturday describes the increasing velocity of Trump's descent into madness over the last week, especially his speeches over the weekend. See September 7, 2024 - by Heather Cox Richardson. HCR’s column moved many readers to post Comments in the Sunday edition of this newsletter. HCR writes, in part,
But today’s speech struck me as different from his past performances, distinguished for what sounded like desperation. Trump has always invented his stories from whole cloth, but there used to be some way to tie them to reality. Today that seemed to be gone. He was in a fantasy world, and his rhetoric was apocalyptic. It was also bloody in ways that raise huge red flags for scholars of fascism. [¶¶]
[Trump said,] “I better win or you're gonna have problems like we've never had. We may have no country left. This may be our last election. You want to know the truth? People have said that. This may be our last election…. It’ll all be over, and you gotta remember…. Trump is always right. I hate to be right. I’m always right.” [¶¶]
Whatever has caused it, Trump seems utterly off his pins, embracing wild conspiracy theories and, as his hopes of winning the election appear to be crumbling, threatening vengeance with a dogged fury that he used to be able to hide.
I urge you to read HCR’s entire column for an exposition of Trump's weekend speeches.
But it gets worse.
After his Saturday speeches, Trump posted the worst fascistic, ugly, megalomaniacal threat ever made by an American politician. He threatened to prosecute his opponents if he wins the 2024 election:
CEASE & DESIST: I, together with many Attorneys and Legal Scholars, am watching the Sanctity of the 2024 Presidential Election very closely because I know, better than most, the rampant Cheating and Skullduggery that has taken place by the Democrats in the 2020 Presidential Election. It was a Disgrace to our Nation! Therefore, the 2024 Election, where Votes have just started being cast, will be under the closest professional scrutiny and, WHEN I WIN, those people that CHEATED will be prosecuted to the fullest extent of the Law, which will include long term prison sentences so that this Depravity of Justice does not happen again. We cannot let our Country further devolve into a Third World Nation, AND WE WON'T! Please beware that this legal exposure extends to Lawyers, Political Operatives, Donors, Illegal Voters, & Corrupt Election Officials. Those involved in unscrupulous behavior will be sought out, caught, and prosecuted at levels, unfortunately, never seen before in our Country.
To be clear, Trump is threatening—in advance—to impose “long-term prison sentences .. . . never before seen in this country” on lawyers, election officials, donors, voters, and politicians whom Trump views as opponents.
We must pause on the madness of Trump's threats. They are delusional. The election hasn’t occurred, and he is planning to jail people over fictional cheating. He is using fascistic threats to dissuade eligible voters and election officials from engaging in the election process by suggesting that they will be “sought out, caught, and prosecuted”—as if the legal system is his personal instrument of revenge.
The combined effect of Trump's speech and post on Saturday should have been a watershed moment for journalists covering politics in America. For most of Sunday, no major media outlet commented on the deranged nature of Trump's speech or his post. Mid-afternoon on Sunday, both the Times and WaPo had posted stories about the threats—in the politics section of their coverage. Apparently, neither outlet believes that overt threats of retribution over non-existent election fraud rise to the level of “general news.”
What did rise to the level of “general news”? New polling by the NYTimes, which claimed the race is effectively tied. Although the Times’s results put Trump slightly ahead in the margin of error, its results were an outlier. How did the Times respond to the fact that its results were inconsistent with the trend of polling? It declared that its poll was “high quality,” while other polls taken since the convention in the race were of inferior quality. “There simply haven’t been many high-quality surveys fielded since the convention, when Ms. Harris was riding high.”
So, on a day when Trump's preemptive threat to jail election officials for non-existent fraud should have been the lead story with 48 POINT FONT, the Times placed itself at the center of the universe by highlighting its poll and declaring that its outlier results were correct, and all other polls were inferior.
The Guardian, as usual, distinguished itself by calling out Trump's deranged behavior as its lead story. See The Guardian, Trump threatens to jail adversaries for ‘unscrupulous behavior’ if he wins.
Perhaps Monday will bring a wave of condemnation and attention that was beyond the capabilities of major media over the weekend. That would be a welcome development. But regardless of whether that happens, it does not excuse us from the task of raising the alarm about Trump's threat to democracy. While we cannot limit our message to the threat to democracy, neither can we normalize or dismiss it or look away.
If we do not convince Americans that Trump is the greatest danger to democracy our nation has ever faced, then every policy proposal designed to improve the lives of all Americans will be meaningless.
It is a tough task to focus on the threat of Trump and the promise of Kamala Harris. But here we are. We must do both. And we aren’t going to get the help we deserve from the media. We must be bold; we must be willing to step outside of our comfort zone; we must speak the truth in words of one syllable (or shorter, if possible).
It seems improbable that the media can continue to ignore Trump's descent into madness and megalomania. But it seems improbable that they have done so to this point. But let’s not invest emotional energy worrying whether they will. It’s up to us. It always has been. But the stakes are higher than they have ever been.
Opportunity for reader engagement.
My friend and former law partner, Jamie Levitt, will be hosting a conversation with reproductive rights activists and physicians on Monday, September 9 at 7:00 p.m. Eastern.
Per Jamie,
The event is a fundraiser for the Harris Victory Fund and will feature Morgan Mohr, Harris-Walz Senior Advisor, and reproductive rights advocates Kaitlyn Joshua, Dr. Shelly Tien, and Amanda Zurawski.
Jamie Levitt was co-counsel with the Center for Reproductive Rights for plaintiffs in Zurawski v. Texas, a case that sought clarification of exceptions to Texas’s abortion bans.
This event is a unique opportunity to hear directly from the women affected by dangerous and inhumane abortion bans in states—laws that could become a reality for women nationwide if we don't win this November.
There is more information in the link below. Donations begin at $25 to attend. Click on this link to register: A Virtual Conversation on Reproductive Rights
Concluding Thoughts
There is another possible explanation for Trump's meltdown over the last two weeks: He has seen internal polling that suggests his path to victory is becoming increasingly narrow and unlikely. There is external evidence that validates the possibility that Trump is reacting to bad news. Both Florida and Texas are utilizing police-state tactics to intimidate and terrorize election workers and citizens alike. The Missouri Supreme Court seems primed to remove a citizen initiative from the ballot that would guarantee reproductive rights.
These are desperate measures of last resort. They suggest that Republicans understand that their malign options for staying in power are narrowing and will soon disappear. If they were confident they could win at the ballot box, they would be following the same strategy Democrats are pursuing: Maximizing registration and turnout.
So, as unfair and anxiety producing as it feels to see Trump and MAGA extremists engage in voter intimidation and suppression, it is the surest sign that we are on the path to permanent victory. Don’t be discouraged by the bad-faith GOP efforts to win by suppression; instead, take heart and double down on your efforts to hasten the day of ultimate victory. It’s coming. We know, and they know it—which is one reason Trump is melting down as we watch.
Talk to you tomorrow!
Daily Dose of Perspective
The image below shows two gas clouds that are part of the Gamma Cassiopeiae Nebula. The two portions of the nebula have separate “catalog numbers” for identification. The colorful cloud on the upper left is IC 59, and the cloud on the lower right is IC 63. They are 590 light-years from Earth. Both are part of a single, large nebula that is too big to fit into a single frame of my camera.
My exposure above took 2 hours. The image at this link shows what the entire nebula looks like with a 15-hour exposure: The ghost of Cassiopée / IC59, IC63 and y Cas (Maroun Habib) - AstroBin
Not only did NYT promote their outlier result with the claim that it's the only legitimate poll, it's not a legitimate topline. Harris wins Independents by 4 or 5 with likely voters depending on the question. As they have done ALL YEAR, Times/Siena has used an R+ weight to turn what should be a result right in the range of the polling average into a Trump lead in order to create that headline before the debate. If you look back to June, they did the same thing then.
If you look at the methodology you can see them admit this. They manipulated the data to a set goal of R+2. In the past 40 years, there has never been an R+ electorate in a Presidential election. This is an intentional choice to mislead.
There's other issues with this poll (12% of likely voters did not vote in 2020, 2020 voters are Biden+3 when he won by about 5, Trump somehow wins 97% of his 2020 voters, both Black and Hispanic voters are underweighted at 10% when they're 13% of the electorate...) but the net impact of all of this is that the "result" wasn't an outlier, it was a lie.
Thanks again, Robert for continuing to urge us to action! My sister has organized a postcard party this week. We’re hoping to send several 100 postcards to Georgia.