99 Comments
Sep 28, 2022Liked by Robert B. Hubbell

As I keep saying, ignore the polls and keep working for the midterms. You can make statistics say whatever you want if you try hard enough. We CAN do this!!!!!

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Sep 28, 2022·edited Sep 28, 2022Liked by Robert B. Hubbell

Robert - thanks for the shout-out for That's Another Fine Mess. Every little bit helps!

One of the reasons I left professional politics 41 years ago was that the fellow "professionals" I worked with had in their number way too many morons convinced they were geniuses. It's been my experience down here in Hollyweird that the same situation exists, the difference being that the only things the legends in their own minds fuck up here are movies and TV shows, which isn't quite on the level of managing to screw up the way a country operates because you are too damn stupid to figure out reality right in front of you.

Back in 1940, many high-ranking French officers were literally frozen and unable to act when they were confronted with the German blitzkrieg, since everything about it violated everything they "knew" was the proper way to run a war. Their minds blanked. That's what's happening with the pollsters who cannot understand that a "never before in history" event is not one that will be understandeable by the rules of a politics that comes from the Before Time.

I listened tonight to a really good interview the very smart Alex Wagner conducted this past weekend with California governor Gavin Newsom. He "gets" everything I was thinking about in the post I did that Robert recommended - having a relevant message, taking the fight to the people and confronting the enemy and calling them what they are, putting forward policy proposals that really will deal with the issues that the majority of people want to see us deal with. No wonder he's my favorite California governor after having to deal with the Amiable Dunce, then Governor Moonbeam (who turned out to be a zombie and showed up again after I thought we'd finally killed him off) and the execrable Gray "It's my turn" Davis - and all the Republican morons in between (but thank you Pete Wilson for finally turning the state blue with Prop 187). I recommend to everyone to go watch the interview. We may be looking at the political future there. Here it is on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zQjotJ0A1AQ

IMPORTANT ANNOUNCEMENT: if you are interested in visiting That's Another Fine Mess, DO NOT click on the "writes That's Another Fine Mess" associated with this post. That is not the right address - it goes to a "zombie" site. I am working with Substack for them to fix the URL so it goes where it should. The correct URL for the real TAFM is https://tcinla757.substack.com/

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Sep 28, 2022·edited Sep 28, 2022Liked by Robert B. Hubbell

It really is incredible to see so many male pundits (even on the left) claiming that abortion might not be such a big deal in the midterm elections. I suppose the women who know what it's like to have received devastating news at that 18-week ultrasound, or have been raped, or have gotten pregnant by an abusive partner who threatens their life if they keep the baby are all on board with Republican abortion bans? And what about protections for their daughters, sisters, and friends? Real disconnect.

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ISL is just republican-speak for reinterpreting the constitution to justify their nonsense; they have been at this for awhile. It’s the reason The Heritage Foundation exists.

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founding
Sep 28, 2022Liked by Robert B. Hubbell

Robert, I’m afraid you have over-simplified the independent state legislature theory by omitting mention of its idea that legislatures may set boundaries of congressional (and legislative) districts without oversight from a state’s courts. Thus, if a state (North Carolina, say) has an anti-gerrymandering provision in its constitution, the legislature would be free to ignore it, without review from the courts. Indeed, that is what the case before the Extreme Court is all about. If the Court sides with the legislature (that is, the Republican majority), democracy will be threatened gravely all across the nation. The case is so important that the organization of state supreme court chief justices has filed a friend-of-court brief arguing against the theory.

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Sep 28, 2022Liked by Robert B. Hubbell

Local USPS OFFICES sell stamped postcards and the price is slightly lower than buying postcards and stamps separately and saves us the trouble of sticking on stamps. They are sold in packets which we are going to need because we will not be sending out just a few. If every Democrat in the country bought a packet of 100 and mailed them-LIKE WOW!

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I’m not an expert in polling either. The early predictions of a Republican sweep in part was more grounded in past political history than in real time reality. Based on several articles I have read the polling this year has a few wrinkles such as the Dobbs decision and voter reactions to the decision plus follow up decisions by states to eliminate abortions entirely. There is no experience or baseline to effectively measure until after the election the impact this will have. Polls aside the only two things that matter are registration and voter turnout. That is what will win or lose elections. One bright shining light in all of this is the Democrats have a better slate of candidates this time and a larger number of women running for office. All of us need to help get out the vote in our communities and women once again have to save our country from tyranny.

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Recently TFG has been lobbing insults at McConnell. Perhaps this support for the Electoral Count Reform Act is Mitch's little twitch of a payback? It can't be because of some solid principle of democracy or fairness. There is no space for such stuff in his ultra partisan rotten old noggin.

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..."because they are neo-fascists in waiting. " With all due respect Mr. Hubbell I don't believe they are waiting.

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Best discussion of polls, polling, and pollsters I've seen. Of course, if any of them were to admit the fallacy of their assumptions, they'd lose the income they get from politicians and pundits who need "hard data" to back up their arguments. Maybe we can discuss economists and their assumptions next.

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Sep 28, 2022Liked by Robert B. Hubbell

I am still concerned that some red states may still prospectively change their election laws to subvert the intent of that state’s voters and that would be acceptable under the proposed federal legislation

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Sep 28, 2022Liked by Robert B. Hubbell

Thank you, Robert, for thinking of the Floridians among us. I live just south of Fort Myers, so I made sure to listen to your words for today as soon as I awoke; I expect to lose power in just a few hours.

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Chris Kise, not Krise

From Denialad. donbialostosky.substack.com

Trump’s benched his three million dollar lawyer,

Who must not have pleased his new employer.

One wag has speculated that Chris Kise

Gave Trump some reasonable legal advice

And that was all it took to get him cut.

Trump was much happier to have a nut

Like Giuliani, who told him he won

And made such a ridiculous bull run

That he’s lost his lawyerly bona fides.

Perhaps Kise is a legal sobersides

Who wouldn’t say in court what Trump Truths out:

He wouldn’t take a chance and go all out

To say the docs were all declassified,

And maybe balked at claiming the Feds tried

To plant incriminating things among

Trump’s papers. That refusal must have stung.

After Kise won Trump the special master,

His legal cases ended in disaster.

The special master Dearie called his bluff

And the circuit court justices were tough

On Trump, his lawyers, and his loyal judge,

And now that it is clear the courts won’t budge,

Someone other than Trump must take the blame;

So he is taking Kise out of the game.

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Knowing that Ted Cruz is thrilled by the hard right victory in Italy is of a piece with his semi-fascist admiration and support for Victor Orban and his love affair with Tucker Carlson. He ran for president in 2016. Let's remember and not forget what a disgrace the "most despised senator" is to the great state of Texas. He should head back to Cancun.

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Sep 28, 2022Liked by Robert B. Hubbell

Pollsters and hucksters share more than just the second syllable of their respective social constructs. I approach ANY poll-even those claiming a wide Democratic lead, with a few grains of salt. There is a lot of good speculation out there, and a lot of ill speculation as well. The only "poll" that counts is the actual vote.

The Italy vote is instructive, as the Brazil vote may well be-though likely in the other direction. The Italians have shown us what progressives should NOT do. Senhor Lula da Silva is showing us what progressives NEED to do.

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Sep 28, 2022Liked by Robert B. Hubbell

Just submitted my order for 100 postcards. Thanks for posting this opportunity.

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